Brent is back above $100.
What worries me more though is that some analysts still think it should eventually fall toward $55.
That gap matters.
If the fundamentals are supposed to be bearish, yet oil is still trading near wartime levels while we are technically in a quieter phase, then the market may be pricing in something much uglier ahead.
The black swan is obvious:
A wider U.S.-Iran escalation that pushes Tehran to attack Gulf refineries, ports and other energy infrastructure.
Iran still appears to retain substantial missile capability, and that is what makes any ground operation far more dangerous than simply “opening” Hormuz.
Oil above $100 may not be the warning.
It may be the market telling us the warning has already started.
@davidlin_TV
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Neo Baker💰 @NeoBakerr ·
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@MarioNawfal let's make one thing crystal clear.. Brent is probably never going below $80 bbl again.
the one thing I can't understand for the life of me, is why Brent is the Benchmark when the US barely uses any of it, and we have WTI.











































































