Mario Nawfal

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 The US military buildup around Iran looks exactly like the one before the last two rounds of American strikes. Robert Barnes says Tehran has already watched this pattern play out twice and won’t be caught off guard again: “Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me twice, shame on me. Now they’re moving into fool me three times mode.” Iran now has to decide whether to take the next round of talks at face value, and two rounds of strikes make that a very hard sell. @Barnes_law @angertab

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Army's top general warned in DECEMBER that Patriot and THAAD stocks would stay critically low until 2030... we went to war with Iran anyway and fired the general who said it... His warning sat inside the Pentagon’s own global force plan, the document that decides where American weapons go each year, two months before the first bomb fell on Iran. Then the war did exactly what he feared: CSIS estimates the US went in with about 2,300 Patriots and fired up to 1,430, as much as 61% of the stockpile, while THAAD was worse, roughly 355 interceptors going in and up to 290 fired, 82% gone. Fewer than 500 replacement Patriots and zero THAADs were due this year, a new THAAD order takes four and a half years to deliver, and one official told CBS that even if nothing else is fired anywhere, the stockpile doesn’t get back to December’s already-low level until 2030. Here’s what this adds up to. The commander in chief and his defense secretary were handed an honest assessment from the man who runs the Army, in writing, BEFORE the war. They went in anyway, fought for seven months without a plan to replace what they were firing, and the officer who told them the truth was shown the door while his numbers came true. Whether or not the warning is why he was fired, the signal to every other general was received. This isn’t a munitions problem anymore, it’s a leadership discipline failure: an administration that treated bad news as disloyalty and bombed its way into an exposed position the country can’t shoot its way out of until 2030. It’s hard to find a precedent for a war started with the magazine already flagged empty by the people who count the bullets. Source: CBS News / Writer: Daniel

🇾🇪🇸🇦 Houthi missiles hit Yemen's presidential palace with the prime minister and cabinet inside, killing 5, the first strike on the government's seat this war The Al-Maashiq palace in Aden took missiles and drones Thursday while the Saudi-backed cabinet was at work. The ministers walked out alive; five guards and civilian employees didn't, and 16 more are wounded. The Houthis say they were bombing a "Saudi military operations headquarters" staffed by Saudi officers with weapons depots inside, a claim Reuters couldn't verify. The coalition says the Houthis launched 20 attacks on Riyadh's airport this month alone, killing 17 and wounding 333, plus three dead at Abha, and that the group now has ballistic missiles, drones and explosive fast boats from "regional actors." Within the hour the Houthis renewed their warning that every Saudi airport is unsafe, except the airspace over Mecca and Medina. The Houthis want to break the Saudi economy, airports, oil, the government in Aden, while staying clear of the one thing that would unite the Muslim world against them. The palace strike says Riyadh's proxy government is now the softest target on the list, and the Turkish and Pakistani troops promised under the Mecca pact are what stand between Aden and the Houthis taking it a second time. Source: Reuters / Writer: Daniel

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Overthrow the regime or nothing: the case that Tehran can never be held to a deal. Matt Tardio argues the Iranian regime runs on a radical religious ideology that lets it lie and do whatever it takes to reach its goals, so no signed agreement will ever bind it: “You’re either going to decapitate and overthrow the Iranian regime, because what you’re looking at is a radical religious ideology. They are not beholden to agreements.” Then comes the question the regime change side still has to answer... who actually runs Iran the morning after? @Barnes_law @Angertab

🇮🇱 The IDF DIDN'T SAY A WORD about 254 cases it said it was investigating over alleged killings or injuries BBC Verify reviewed 60,000+ reports and identified 300 cases under investigation. Only 28 have published outcomes. Of the 254 still open, 158 involve Gaza, 48 the West Bank and 32 Lebanon. More than 200 reportedly involved at least one death, with some cases dating back to 2023. We're not talking about a government particularly known for accountability... Source: Arab News, BBC / Lucas

🇨🇦 Bro in Toronto was so used to bike lanes that he ditched basic survival reflexes 😭 Writer: Lucas t.co/89GzYwlbmU

🇺🇸 🇷🇺 🇮🇷 America is now buying diesel from Russia... while Russian intelligence allegedly helps Iran hit US troops. Matt Tardio puts that contradiction right on the table: “That intelligence and that capability that Russia has provided to Iran undoubtedly has killed U.S. service members in the Middle East.” Robert Barnes fires back that America created this enemy itself, and the two go at it over who’s really to blame. Watch them fight over whether America can treat Russia as a gas station and an enemy at the same time. @Barnes_law @angertab

🇺🇦🇺🇸 Asked if his fight with Trump is worse than the Oval Office blowup, Zelensky offered the most careful six words of his week: "Maybe not everything is ideal there" Pressed on whether this crisis tops last year's, when Trump and Vance dressed him down on live TV, Zelensky stayed in the middle of the road: "I think that we had good communication. We had several meetings which have been positive. And we try to make some plans how to end the war. Maybe not everything is ideal there, yes, in this, but it's dialogue." That's a president with empty Patriot launchers and a Russian diesel deal on his desk choosing every word not to lose the last channel he has. Source: WFWitness on TG / Writer: Daniel

🇸🇦 🇾🇪 A Yemen war Riyadh expected to win fast became a decade long disaster... and now cheap Houthi drones hit Saudi infrastructure almost at will. Khalid Aljabri traces the mess back to oversimplified assumptions at the very start, when short term goals were supposed to wrap things up quickly. All the expensive firepower in the world still can't shield oil sites and airports from drones that cost next to nothing, and his fix is to separate defending the border from Riyadh's political meddling inside Yemen. Until Riyadh draws that line, the war keeps draining money and the drones keep finding targets. @JabriMD

🇾🇪🇸🇦 Houthis claim they shot down a Saudi Wing Loong II armed reconnaissance drone over Yemen’s Marib governorate Marib is an oil rich province that has long been one of the most contested areas of the war. The Houthis hold most of north Yemen, and government held Marib city has been the target of their ground offensive. In a statement, Houthi military spokesperson Yahya Saree said the drone was carrying out “hostile activities” in the governorate’s airspace and was brought down with a “suitable weapon,” without giving further details. Source: Al Jazeera / Writer: Bri

🇸🇦 🇨🇦 Saudi Arabia locked up two children of its exiled former intelligence chief for years to pressure him into coming home. Khalid Aljabri says Saudi authorities took his brother Omar and sister Sarah and made them disappear as leverage against their father Saad, who lives in exile in Canada. Human Rights Watch says the two were arrested at their Riyadh home in March 2020, held with no contact for about 10 months, then sentenced to nine and six and a half years. Every dissident living abroad now has to wonder what happens to the family they left behind. @JabriMD

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukraine's Patriot launchers are EMPTY, Russian ballistic missiles are hitting Kyiv's power plants unopposed, and Washington is threatening to cut off the resupply A source claims that "almost all the ballistic missiles from the last strike were not intercepted" because Kyiv had nothing left to fire. That strike hit three Kyiv power plants Wednesday, killed four people and wounded 25, and the four intercepts the Air Force reported were likely the last Patriots in the country. Zelensky has been saying this for months, told CNN in August he had a tenth of what he needs, and this week told the Financial Times he'd stop hitting Russian refineries for more interceptors "at a minimum." Instead, the State Department and Pentagon warned over the weekend that US intelligence sharing and European weapons purchases through the US pipeline could be suspended if the refinery strikes continue. Trump insists intelligence sharing hasn't stopped. The relationship was never really repaired after the Oval Office showdown in February 2025, when Trump and Vance dressed Zelensky down on camera and sent him home without lunch. Earlier today Trump made his feelings clear saying “I’m not a big fan of Zelensky” and even quoted an unnamed Ukrainian woman saying Zelensky “destroyed our country.” Source: CNN / Writer: Daniel

"Can't find a parking lot quickly" is not an excuse anymore 😉 @Tesla / Writer: Lucas t.co/bmwjZNyclS

🇸🇦 🇾🇪 Saudi Arabia's crown prince has been skipping major public events as Houthi strikes put the kingdom's leaders in the crosshairs. Khalid Aljabri says any leader hunkers down in fortified locations during a war, and that part is routine. Skipping public appearances altogether is a real change, and it tracks with Houthi strikes on civilian sites that have gotten accurate enough to make the danger personal for the men at the top. How long can Riyadh sell the kingdom as open for business when its own crown prince can't safely show his face? @JabriMD

🚨🇺🇸 This is the Bryson Fire area northwest of LA, NOW at 101.5 acres The map shows the fire just inland from the coast near Malibu, with evacuation orders and warnings still active under Red Flag conditions. A couple of smaller fires are also marked nearby. Stay safe if you're there! Source: NBC LA / Writer: Lucas

🇺🇸 The Tesla Roadster is straight out of 2050 🔥 Flying cars, speeds quicker than you can blink and a whole lot of UNBELIEVABLE innovations! Elon wins again! The future is coming...and FAST! Writer: Bri t.co/mVdRm8nAzt

🇺🇸 Vigil held for three children and teacher killed in DEVASTATING Oregon school shooting. The heartbroken residents of Bend came together to light candles and mourn the four lives stolen from their community. The children, aged 5, 8, and 11 died alongside a teacher 💔 Writer: Bri

🚨🇺🇸 LA County WARNED of fast-spreading WILDFIRES as Red Flag conditions remain in place through Saturday. Santa Ana winds could bring 50-70 mph mountain gusts and humidity as low as 8-20%. Officials urge anyone who feels unsafe near a fire to LEAVE immediately without waiting for an evacuation order. Fire departments have deployed extra crews and equipment. Writer: Lucas t.co/nAu8Doo9aH

🚨🇺🇸 Footage of the FIRE near Malibu, with OVER 100 ACRES and evacuations underway This is the Bryson Fire, separate from the Peak Fire earlier in Azusa. It started this afternoon near Encinal Canyon Road and Mulholland Highway and grew fast under the same Red Flag conditions. Wind gusts and low humidity are still driving the risk through Saturday. Writer: Lucas t.co/UCm1rWDKzc

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Chinese student at the University of Wyoming reportedly POISONED A COLLEAGUES TEA and tried to flee the country… Aili Wang, 32, was arrested on October 6th at LA airport while she was heading back to China. Police say she bought acrylamide on eBay and put it in the water her colleague used for tea. Surveillance caught her going through his desk and rinsing his mug with liquid from her own. She faces an aggravated assault charge and is being held without bail. The colleague had pending patents on disease-treatment tech, and the 2 apparently didn't get along… Source: The Guardian / Writer: Lucas

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Three carriers are steaming toward Iran as Washington talks up the MOAB... The MOAB is built to burn surface targets, and Iran’s launchers sit under rock, so the headline weapon of the next round can’t reach the thing it needs to kill, while the carriers meant to deliver the rest keep backing off until their fighters lose most of their time on station. Retired Navy Commander Bobby Jones says the Aegis defenses on those ships were built in the 1970s for open-ocean war against the Soviets and upgraded since, while the strait is a phone booth packed with cheap missiles built to overwhelm exactly that: “This is a battle of endurance that the United States is no longer positioned to win.” There are no minesweepers in the Gulf, and the Navy is stripping weapons off ships waiting to deploy to keep the ones out there armed... so the next round opens with a fleet running on parts it doesn’t have. @WeTheBrandon

🚨🇺🇸 0 TO 60 IN 0.81 SECONDS!!! The new Tesla Roadster just did the IMPOSSIBLE! Faster than any car has ever been!!! UNBELIEVABLE🔥 Writer: Bri t.co/OOL21oOywP

🇾🇪🇮🇷 Iran may want oil prices higher, but the HOUTHIS are the ones STRETCHING THE MARKET right now through the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait The Red Sea route is the main workaround when Hormuz is tight. Houthis control parts of the Yemeni coast and islands, and traffic through the strait is still way down. Recent attacks on Saudi Aramco sites and shipping in the area have kept the risk premium alive even as Gulf crude finds other paths. Saudi oil has been moving through the East-West pipeline to the Red Sea, which makes Bab-el-Mandeb attacks more relevant, not less. The market has adapted to Hormuz, but the southern route is still the one that can push prices when it gets hit. Source: Bloomberg / Writer: Lucas

🇺🇸 Elon and Franz walked through the new Roadster, saying they wanted to BREAK THE LAWS OF PHYSICS 🤯 The seats are molded into the chassis, with steer-by-wire controlling the yoke, brakes, and throttle. The rear houses thrusters and fans designed to push cornering beyond 2G and accelerate beyond normal tire limits. The rear wing has variable pitch and switches between high downforce and low drag. @Tesla / Writer: Lucas

🚨Tesla’s new Roadster grew WINGS and claims F1-level downforce 🔥 The wings are driven by the Optimus actuator system. Tesla says it is the best passive downforce package of any road car. The car was just revealed with SpaceX thrusters that let it hover and spin. @Tesla @SpaceX / Writer: Lucas t.co/UoK3Db7iai

🇺🇸🚔 So, was this like a money theft thing or an ICE thing? What?! You know that’s what everyone is wondering! Writer: Jamie t.co/uL7qajXAy5

@elonmusk This was HISTORIC.

🇺🇸Bend Police Chief Mike Krantz: “Unfortunately this is something we train for on a regular basis and we MUST.” Just this August, officers went through a full day of active threat training at a local high school. A heavy police presence will remain at the school for the next several days as a long investigation gets underway. Writer: Bri

🇨🇳 China is building 91% of the WORLD’S NEW SUPERTANKERS while its navy still faces the Strait of Malacca problem. Clarksons data shows Chinese shipyards took most new orders this year, including the bulk of the largest oil tankers. China Merchants and COSCO Energy already operate two of the world’s biggest tanker fleets. One company that only owns these giant tankers, DHT, has already locked in half its open days for the rest of the year at $509,100 a day. Alfred Thayer Mahan argued that sea control and chokepoints determine global power. China can build the ships, but most of its oil still passes through Malacca, a strait it doesn’t control. Building the fleet is one thing. Ensuring its oil reaches China without relying on another navy is the harder part. Source: World Ports, The Merchant News / Lucas

🇺🇦 “Busification”: The new term used to describe conscripting men in Ukraine against their will and transporting them to recruitment centers. Busification = kidnapping. Conscript = victim. Writer: Jamie t.co/TcYXSZSjok