🇺🇸🇨🇳 China is no longer expected to overtake the United States as the world's largest economy anytime soon, marking a major shift from predictions made over the past two decades.
For years, economists expected China's rapid growth to continue until its economy surpassed America's, with some forecasts predicting that would happen before 2020.
But those predictions have repeatedly been pushed back.
According to Oxford Economics data, China's economy reached roughly 77% of U.S. GDP in 2021 before falling back to around 67% in 2025.
The latest forecast suggests China's economy will reach only about 84% of America's by 2040.
The comparison uses nominal GDP, measured in U.S. dollars, meaning exchange rates also influence the figures.
China's economic rise has been extraordinary, but the expectation that it would inevitably overtake the United States is looking increasingly uncertain.
Source: Financial Times / Oxford Economics / Writer: Mhedi
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