🇺🇸🇮🇷 Robert Pape thinks the most dangerous window with Iran may come after November 3.
His logic is simple:
Before the election, Trump still has something to lose.
After it, especially if Democrats take Congress, that restraint may disappear.
“He has nothing to lose after November 3rd.”
Pape thinks that could make escalation abroad politically easier just as Trump’s power at home starts shrinking.
That’s the risk.
A president with fewer political chips left may be more willing to gamble with the ones he still has.
@ProfessorPape
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