🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel is warning of an October 7-style attack from the West Bank. But could the warning itself make things worse?
I brought Shabbos Kestenbaum and Omar Baddar together after Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz warned of a possible major attack from the West Bank ahead of Israel's elections.
Their disagreement was intense.
Omar argued that escalating settler violence and Israeli military operations are creating conditions for another explosion, and fears any Palestinian retaliation could become the justification for a much larger crackdown.
Shabbos pushed back, pointing to armed Palestinian groups operating in the West Bank and arguing that Israel has every reason to take the threat seriously.
But I challenged him on something specific.
He cited an incident involving rocks thrown at a vehicle, injuring a pregnant woman, as evidence of the danger.
That's a serious attack. But it's not October 7.
And that's precisely what worries me.
When officials start invoking October 7, the threshold for an extraordinary military response can become dangerously low.
Both guests had plenty to say about who bears responsibility for decades of failed peace efforts.
I kept coming back to what happens next.
Because the West Bank is already tense enough without another incident becoming the spark for something far bigger.
@ShabbosK @OmarBaddar
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