🇸🇦🇾🇪 With Houthi missiles hitting Saudi airports and oil facilities, I've been hearing increasingly dramatic predictions about the future of the kingdom.
So I wanted to hear from Ali Shihabi, who knows the Saudi leadership and advises on the NEOM project.
He pushed back hard.
Shihabi acknowledges that Saudi Arabia is vulnerable. It's a huge country with oil installations, pipelines and airports that are difficult to defend simultaneously.
But he argues the kingdom has something the Houthis and Iran don't: the money, engineering expertise and international supply chains to repair damage and sustain a prolonged confrontation.
We also disagreed about how this war began.
I questioned whether Saudi Arabia's decision to bomb the runway at Sana'a airport had triggered a disastrous escalation.
Shihabi insists the strike was intended to prevent Iranian military supplies from reaching the Houthis, and believes the confrontation was coming regardless.
What interested me most was his position on the wider war.
Despite defending Saudi Arabia's military response in Yemen, he says Riyadh opposed America's war against Iran from the beginning.
“It was not a smart decision.”
And while he expects a negotiated settlement with Iran, he believes MBS is determined to keep fighting the Houthis rather than accept their ability to threaten the Red Sea.
It's a revealing perspective from someone close to the Saudi establishment, particularly when so many others are predicting the kingdom's defeat.
@aliShihabi