Mario Nawfal

🇺🇸🇺🇦🇮🇷 Diesel hit $5.97 and two separate wars are pulling on the same barrel U.S. on-highway diesel sat between $3.50 and $3.75 for all of 2025. It's now at a record $5.97. Trump has recently blamed the surge largely on the Russia-Ukraine war, specifically Ukraine's strikes on Russian refineries. He told Zelensky to stop hitting Russian diesel infrastructure, arguing: “This isn’t done by the Middle East, this is done by what’s happening in Russia and Ukraine.” But the supply picture is broader than that. Two disruptions, unrelated to each other, both hitting middle distillates: Hormuz has taken 1.2 million barrels a day off line, and Russia's export ban another 0.8 million. Together roughly 8% of world diesel supply. Why this one hurts more than a gasoline spike: diesel is the fuel underneath everything else. Trucks, rail, ships, tractors, construction plant, backup generators, farm equipment. Nobody chooses to buy less of it. Freight has to move whatever it costs, so the price passes straight through into food, materials and every delivered good in the economy. Gasoline is a household expense. Diesel is an input cost for the entire supply chain. And it's the hardest barrel to replace. Refineries can't simply pivot their yield to make more of it, and the world's spare refining capacity is far tighter than its spare crude capacity. Extra crude doesn't fix a distillate shortage. Two wars nobody connected have found the same chokepoint. Source: EIA, Lipow Oil Associates, Reuters / Writer: Oliver

🇺🇸 The most pro-crypto Congress in history couldn't pass the Clarity Act. It needed 60 votes to clear its procedural hurdle. Zero Democrats voted to advance it, 4 Republicans crossed over to kill it too, and $300 million of longs vanished in 20 minutes as Bitcoin slid from just under $80,000. That bill was the one thing institutions were waiting on, splitting oversight of digital assets between the SEC and the CFTC. Senator Cynthia Lummis says if it dies in this Congress, the next realistic shot isn't until 2030. The November midterms leave almost no room to revive it. So crypto stays where it's been for years, run by enforcement actions and court rulings instead of a law. Source: CoinDesk / Writer: Daniyal

🇺🇸🇾🇪 America may be preparing to open another front against the Houthis. Trump has twice refused Saudi requests for direct U.S. military help against the Houthis. The important word is “yet.” The pieces for a wider war are now quietly falling into place. Saudi Arabia has moved from fence-sitting to fighting the Houthis. Egypt is publicly demanding the reopening of Bab el-Mandeb. Israel is reportedly providing Saudi Arabia with intelligence through CENTCOM. And U.S., Israeli and Arab military chiefs have now met privately to coordinate regional security. Meanwhile, something's happening much farther from Yemen: The U.S. Air Force is pushing to improve readiness across its B-52, B-1B and B-2 long-range bomber fleets. The unspoken contingency might be Yemen. The Navy would play a limited role in a major campaign against the Houthis, leaving long-range Air Force bombers to provide much of the firepower. Saudi pressure will eventually force the issue. Whether it takes 6 weeks or 6 months, the U.S. will eventually conduct long-range strategic bombing against Houthi targets. Trump has said no. Washington could be preparing for the day that answer changes. @WeTheBrandon

🇮🇷🇬🇧 Iranian spyware campaign targeted dissidents, activists and journalists worldwide British intelligence says Iranian state-linked cyber actors used tailored social engineering to infect targets with spyware capable of stealing messages, screenshots, contacts and microphone access. The malware, dubbed “CHOSEN BRICK,” was reportedly delivered through fake personas, trusted-contact impersonation and even fabricated medical documents. Not mass spam. Individualized surveillance. The more important detail is what happened after infection. According to the FBI, Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence used the malware not just to collect intelligence, but to leak stolen data and damage targets’ reputations. That turns spyware into something broader than espionage. First you watch the dissident. Then you map their network. Then, if useful, you weaponize what you stole. Britain, the U.S. and the Netherlands now say Tehran “almost certainly” uses cyber operations to suppress people it considers threats. Source: UK National Cyber Security Centre, Netherlands AIVD, Sky News / Writer: Oliver

🇺🇸 A reporter pressed AG Todd Blanche on Trump’s claim that new evidence points to a Democratic plot behind the Butler assassination attempt. Blanche says the FBI has found new information about the shooter, including his background and history, that investigators didn’t know before. But he didn’t explain how that new information connects the shooting to a Democratic plot. On Christopher Wray, Blanche says Trump’s frustration comes from questions about what FBI leadership did to protect him in the weeks and months before the assassination attempt. Writer: Daniyal t.co/ixsNrO3tWm

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Steve Bannon says the U.S. should stop training Chinese students as engineers and technologists and remove Chinese nationals from American labs: “Get them back to mainland China.” The farewell party at MIT is going to need a stadium. Writer: Oliver t.co/CY39GcMKm9

🇺🇸 You now need $120,000 to buy the average American home. The average American makes $85,000 That's a $35,000 gap between what the typical household earns and what it needs to qualify for the typical house. The two lines used to track each other. Since 2022 they've split apart and kept going. Here's the part that doesn't make the headlines: the Atlanta Fed's measure isn't just the mortgage. It includes property taxes, homeowner's insurance and PMI.. and insurance is the line item that has exploded. In much of the country the premium, not the rate, is what pushed the qualifying income out of reach. The official threshold for "affordable" is spending 30% of income on housing. The national number is now 47%. At what point does this stop being a housing “cycle” and become a structural affordability crisis? Source: Atlanta Fed / Writer: Oliver

🇺🇸 The Attorney General noticed something. Democrats went quiet on AI for months, and now every one of them can find a microphone in the dark. His read: the midterms. He said he shouldn't have to say it out loud, then said it out loud, which is how you know a man enjoys saying a thing. Writer: Oliver t.co/43lcts26FX

🇺🇸🇮🇱 Trump is publicly fed up with Netanyahu, and his answer is to buy Israel 40,000 of the heaviest bombs in the U.S. arsenal. WaPo says the $2.8 billion package being prepared would include 40,000 of the massive bombs, plus another 20,000 penetrator warheads. And these are seriously destructive weapons. The MK-84 can tear through thick concrete, bring down buildings and throw metal fragments thousands of feet. They’re also the same bombs Biden briefly stopped sending Israel in 2024 over concerns about civilian deaths in Gaza. Trump reversed that shortly after returning to office. The sale hasn’t been approved yet. Congress has been informally notified, and the administration is pushing committee leaders to sign off. The package could take years to deliver, but the message is pretty clear: whatever the political disagreements, U.S. military backing for Israel isn’t going anywhere. Source: The Washington Post / Writer: Daniyal

🇺🇸 A reporter told Deputy AG Todd Blanche that Rep. Thomas Massie had introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Blanche: “Who did?” Reporter: “Thomas Massie.” Blanche then shook his head and rolled his eyes. Sometimes the entire hierarchy of political importance fits into one facial expression. Writer: Oliver t.co/fj7wYSKhRl

🇺🇸 Trump says the Kennedy Center board has voted almost unanimously to close the building immediately over safety concerns and prepare it for reconstruction. But there’s a catch. Trump says the actual renovation won’t begin until the D.C. Circuit rules on the board’s disputed renaming of the center. If the administration ultimately loses that fight, he says the reconstruction won’t happen. Meanwhile, Trumays $17 million he raised has been deposited to keep the Kennedy Center afloat. So Washington has arrived at a peculiar place: The building is closing because the ceiling is falling down. And fixing the ceiling now depends on what the building is called. Source: @realDonaldTrump / Writer: Oliver

🇩🇪 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz just said social media should be restricted much more, then immediately shut down the free speech argument with “Don’t come at me with Free Speech. This has nothing to do with Free Speech.” He says the state still has to protect people from false information, which puts him right in the middle of Germany’s fight over how far government can go in policing what people see and say online. You do not have to understand German to know how condescending he is talking here. Writers: Daniyal, Oliver t.co/bziGGj86vq

🇺🇸 Juror in the Lindsay Clancy case is now getting his entire family dragged into the fallout, and it is getting ugly fast. The lone holdout who blocked Clancy's acquittal on a split 11 to 1 jury, has reportedly seen reporters descend on his relatives' homes after his identity leaked online this past weekend, even though the judge had sealed juror names. His brother says the family cannot leave the house anymore because of how relentless the media has been. A GiveSendGo fundraiser called "Stand With the Juror" has already pulled in more than 120,000 dollars, meant to cover security, legal costs and lost wages if things escalate further. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis publicly offered him asylum in his state if the harassment continues, slamming the coverage as a smear campaign. Meanwhile reporters have also dug up an old restraining order tied to a family dispute, a charge that was never actually proven and was eventually dismissed. So a man does his civil duty, votes his conscience on a triple murder case, and now his own mother cannot walk out her front door without a camera in her face. Is this what jury duty looks like now in America? Writer: Oliver t.co/Aqc8nhzckP

🇺🇸 AG Todd Blanche says 12 daycare fraud suspects were arrested in Southern California for allegedly siphoning more than $10 million meant to help low-income families pay for childcare. Stealing daycare money from poor families is one of those crimes that does not require much interpretation. The motive arrives with its own little name tag: “I’m an asshole.” Writer: Oliver t.co/Mdgk7ejsAI

🇺🇸 AG Todd Blanche: “Under Trump’s leadership, crime is the lowest it has been in modern history.” America has apparently been made safe again. Please continue locking your car though. Writer: Oliver t.co/skCKBFwLAQ

🇺🇸 Thomas Massie introduced articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth He's accusing him of illegally keeping U.S. military operations against Iran running without Congress ever signing off on it. This is a Republican going after a Republican administration's own Defense Secretary, which tells you how seriously some in the GOP are taking the war powers question. Democrats already filed their own impeachment articles against Hegseth back in April over the same war, so now the pressure is coming from both sides of the aisle. Writer: Oliver t.co/3IOkda8zZd

@ZachWarunek for a moment I thought that was AI, it's wild

@KettlebellDan MSM is continually being proven wrong. There's a reason some of the smartest people in the world echo the same sentiment: Don't bet against Elon.

Source: wfwitness on TG t.co/f32LnjvNgK

🇸🇾 Syria is calling for a Middle East completely free of nuclear weapons and other WMDs, with every facility in the region placed under full IAEA safeguards. The key phrase is “without exception.” That makes this more than a generic nonproliferation statement. It is a direct demand that the same rules apply to every state in the region, including those whose nuclear capabilities usually sit outside the conversation. Source: SANA, Al Jazeera / Writer: Oliver

Credit to Gamers Nexus on YouTube. You can find the video and their channel here: t.co/yM8jA4IMzK @GamersNexus

🇬🇧 British rockers MUSE, around since 1994, are NOT AMUSED by Meta chief Mark Zuckerberg. Zuck yanked the group’s @muse Instagram handle for a new AI product. The band is now tagged @museband. The same thing happened to them on X. As long as they keep their nearly 3 million followers… I guess they’ll have to live with it. Writer: Jamie

Researchers spent 500 hours and $70,000 and found LG TVs logging plain text transcripts in standby, mapping every device in the house, and feeding it to LG's ad arm Unplug the internet and it saves the files until you plug back in. LG says its TVs don't record ambient conversations. The evidence begs to differ. 216 million of these are sitting in living rooms. Where are the regulators? Writer: Daniel t.co/5LLdbXOK1s

@KettlebellDan 😆🎯

ANTISEMITISM IS BECOMING A VERY SERIOUS GLOBAL ISSUE

🇮🇱🇩🇪 An Israeli peace activist called out the Israeli ambassador during his speech in Leipzig. "Israel murders children every day!" t.co/71GztMJp16

🇬🇧 This was sent to a Holocaust survivor on their 95th birthday last September. In case you hadn’t noticed, the UK has quite an antisemitism problem… Source: Community Security Trust (CST) t.co/WdcGd23A7F

🇬🇧 Paramedics performing CPR on one of the stabbing victims at the scene in Golders Green, London. 2 Jewish men have been seriously wounded in stabbings in Golders Green, London. t.co/TMD0XN6aly

🇺🇸 Death Valley ain't so dead at the moment. A rare superbloom is turning the cracked desert floor into a sea of wildflowers. It happens roughly once a decade when the conditions line up just right. t.co/HAQkijp5Lh